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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Assists
Player Prop - 3/2/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has put up 4.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's put up overall this year.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 31.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 11thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 91st percentile for technical fouls, putting up a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.

The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower stat production across the board.

More Aaron Gordon Player Props

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