Aaron Gordon Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2023

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has posted 3.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Aaron Gordon has tallied 30.9 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should raise plays for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (92nd percentile).
The Timberwolves have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year while at home (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Aaron Gordon will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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