Live Updates for Rockies vs Brewers – 6/29/2025

Colorado Rockies

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Milwaukee Brewers

On June 29, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will host the Colorado Rockies at American Family Field in a National League showdown. The Brewers are currently enjoying a solid season with a record of 47-36, while the Rockies are struggling significantly at 18-65. In their last matchup, the Brewers emerged victorious, and they are looking to capitalize on that momentum.

Milwaukee is projected to start Chad Patrick, who has had a mixed season thus far with a 3-7 win/loss record and a respectable ERA of 3.72. Despite being ranked as the 169th best starting pitcher in MLB, his strikeout potential is notable, averaging 6.1 strikeouts per game. However, he does have issues with allowing hits and walks, averaging 4.8 hits and 1.2 walks per game. The Brewers’ offense, while ranked 18th overall, has shown strength in stolen bases, ranking 2nd in the league.

On the other hand, Colorado will counter with German Marquez, who has a dismal 3-9 record and a troubling ERA of 5.79. Marquez is considered one of the worst pitchers in MLB, and while his xFIP of 4.64 suggests he might improve, recent performances have not inspired confidence. The Rockies’ offense ranks 25th overall and has struggled significantly, particularly in batting average and home runs.

Given the current odds, the Brewers are favored heavily with a moneyline of -255, reflecting an implied team total of 5.18 runs. The Rockies, on the other hand, are seen as underdogs with a moneyline of +215 and an implied total of just 3.32 runs. With both teams’ recent performances and the projected matchups, this game strongly favors the Brewers to continue their success against a Rockies team that appears to be in disarray.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• German Marquez – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Given that flyball batters struggle against flyball pitchers, German Marquez (44% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected offense.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Tyler Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)
  Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Brenton Doyle – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Brenton Doyle hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Chad Patrick – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Chad Patrick will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing bats today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Christian Yelich will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 20% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-245)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• Brice Turang – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-135/+105)
  Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 50% ROI)