Picks and Betting Guide for Dodgers vs Brewers - Friday, May 22, 2026

-110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-110

Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
Among all starters, Justin Wrobleski’s fastball spin rate of 2418 rpm is in the 79th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-110)
The best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)
Logan Henderson is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #2 HR venue in the league in today’s game.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
Jackson Chourio has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year’s 89.3-mph average.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Milwaukee Brewers – 2H Moneyline
The Milwaukee Brewers bullpen profiles as the 8th-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-110)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)

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