Picks and Betting Guide for Dodgers vs Brewers - Friday, May 22, 2026

-110O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)-110

Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
Among all starters, Justin Wrobleski’s fastball spin rate of 2418 rpm is in the 79th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-110)
The best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)
Logan Henderson is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #2 HR venue in the league in today’s game.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Jake Bauers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
Jake Bauers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.8-mph average to last season’s 94.9-mph mark.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Milwaukee Brewers – 2H Moneyline
The Milwaukee Brewers bullpen profiles as the 6th-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-110)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
William Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)

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