Check Out Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Tigers vs Orioles – Friday, May 22, 2026

Detroit Tigers

@

Baltimore Orioles

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Jack Flaherty has gone to his curveball 6.8% less often this season (18.6%) than he did last year (25.4%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Zach McKinstry – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+200/-270)
  Zach McKinstry’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 85.9-mph mark last year has decreased to 83.6-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Detroit Tigers have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Gage Workman, Jake Rogers).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Chris Bassitt – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Chris Bassitt’s 91.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 11th percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+230/-310)
  Typically, batters like Coby Mayo who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jack Flaherty.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen ranks as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in MLB.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)