Check Out Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Tigers vs Orioles – Friday, May 22, 2026

Detroit Tigers

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Baltimore Orioles

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Jack Flaherty has gone to his curveball 6.8% less often this season (18.6%) than he did last year (25.4%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Zach McKinstry – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  The Baltimore Orioles have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The Detroit Tigers have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Spencer Torkelson, Gage Workman, Riley Greene).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Chris Bassitt – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Chris Bassitt’s 91.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 11th percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Typically, batters like Coby Mayo who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jack Flaherty.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst among all the teams in MLB.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 85% ROI)
• Riley Greene – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+135/-180)
  Riley Greene has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)