
Seattle Mariners
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Kansas City Royals
-135O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+115
(-110/-110)+115
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+120)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Logan Gilbert will rack up an average of 17.1 outs in today’s outing.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Rob Refsnyder – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+235/-320)Rob Refsnyder’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 92-mph average last year has dropped to 87.3-mph.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Seattle Mariners – 2H MoneylineThe Seattle Mariners bullpen ranks as the 6th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Noah Cameron – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)Noah Cameron’s higher utilization percentage of his fastball this season (32.4 compared to 26.4% last year) is not ideal consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-255)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Vinnie Pasquantino – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)In today’s matchup, Vinnie Pasquantino is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (94th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100/-130)The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.55 Units / 21% ROI)
