Live Stream for Mariners vs Royals Game – Friday, May 22, 2026

Seattle Mariners logo

Seattle Mariners

@
Kansas City Royals logo

Kansas City Royals

-135O/U: 8
(-110/-110)
+115

Seattle Mariners Insights

  • Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+120)
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Logan Gilbert will rack up an average of 17.1 outs in today’s outing.
    Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
  • Rob Refsnyder – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+235/-320)
    Rob Refsnyder’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 92-mph average last year has dropped to 87.3-mph.
    Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
  • Seattle Mariners – 2H Moneyline
    The Seattle Mariners bullpen ranks as the 6th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Kansas City Royals Insights

  • Noah Cameron – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
    Noah Cameron’s higher utilization percentage of his fastball this season (32.4 compared to 26.4% last year) is not ideal consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
    Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-255)
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability.
    Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
    In today’s matchup, Vinnie Pasquantino is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (94th percentile).
    Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

  • Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
    The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
    The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.55 Units / 21% ROI)