Live Stream for Mariners vs Royals Game – Friday, May 22, 2026

Seattle Mariners

@

Kansas City Royals

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-155/+120)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Logan Gilbert will rack up an average of 17.1 outs in today’s outing.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  J.P. Crawford has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season’s 89.7-mph EV.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Seattle Mariners – 2H Moneyline
  The Seattle Mariners bullpen ranks as the 5th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Noah Cameron – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Noah Cameron’s higher utilization percentage of his fastball this season (32.4 compared to 26.4% last year) is not ideal consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Vinnie Pasquantino – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  In today’s matchup, Vinnie Pasquantino is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (94th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-180)
  Jac Caglianone has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 24% ROI)