
Texas Rangers
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Los Angeles Angels
-165O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+145
(-110/-110)+145
Texas Rangers Insights
- Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)With 6 bats who share his hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jacob deGrom ought to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Danny Jansen – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 6th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Danny Jansen – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+210/-285)Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+145)Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Mike Trout has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 15.5% rate last year to 22.4% this season.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- The Los Angeles Angels have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jose Siri, Logan O’Hoppe, Mike Trout, Zach Neto).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+115/-150)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
