Live Updates for Giants vs Brewers – 6/01/2026

San Francisco Giants

@

Milwaukee Brewers

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Landen Roupp – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Landen Roupp’s curveball utilization has fallen by 6.8% from last season to this one (35.7% to 28.9%) .
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Luis Arraez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Luis Arraez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 88.1-mph average to last season’s 86-mph average.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• The San Francisco Giants have 5 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Rafael Devers, Willy Adames, Jonah Cox, Eric Haase, Bryce Eldridge).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Shane Drohan – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Among all SPs, Shane Drohan’s fastball spin rate of 2410 rpm ranks in the 79th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-210)
  Extreme flyball bats like Christian Yelich tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Milwaukee Brewers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Milwaukee Brewers’ bullpen grades out as the 8th-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Matt Chapman – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+130/-165)
  Matt Chapman has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)