
St. Louis Cardinals
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Toronto Blue Jays
+145O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-170
(-110/-110)-170
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Quinn Mathews – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)With 8 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Quinn Mathews will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)In his previous start, Kevin Gausman was rolling and put up 11 strikeouts.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Ernie Clement – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)Ernie Clement is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- The Toronto Blue Jays (18.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-heavy set of batters of the day.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Betting Trends
- Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luis Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+100/-130)Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 44% ROI)
