Texas Rangers
@
St. Louis Cardinals
-125O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+105
(-110/-110)+105
Texas Rangers Insights
- Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Among all starters, Jacob deGrom’s fastball velocity of 96.5 mph is in the 91st percentile this year.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Ezequiel Duran – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)Ezequiel Duran has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season’s 84.5-mph EV.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Danny Jansen – Over/Under Total BasesDanny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Michael McGreevy – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)Michael McGreevy projects for an average of 1.2 walks in this outing, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Nolan Gorman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)Nolan Gorman is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Texas (#3-best on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nolan Gorman, Jordan Walker, Jimmy Crooks).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts