
Chicago White Sox
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Minnesota Twins
+120O/U: 8
(-105/-115)-140
(-105/-115)-140
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- The 9.8% Barrel% of the Chicago White Sox makes them the #5 group of hitters in the league this year by this stat.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Minnesota Twins Insights
- Joe Ryan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)Joe Ryan’s 92.3-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 20th percentile among all SPs.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Trevor Larnach – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)There has been a decrease in Trevor Larnach’s average exit velocity this season, from 91.1 mph last year to 86.5 mph nowExplain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Victor Caratini – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+130)Victor Caratini hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105/-115)The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+7.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Bell – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+130/-170)Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 17% ROI)
