
Philadelphia Phillies
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Baltimore Orioles
-140O/U: 8
(-115/-105)+120
(-115/-105)+120
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)In his previous outing, Cristopher Sanchez was rolling and gave up 0 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Kyle Schwarber has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 17.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future gamesExplain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Shane Baz – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-140/+110)Shane Baz has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 6.1 more adjusted pitches-per-start than average.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Coby Mayo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 92.6-mph EV.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Baltimore Orioles – 2H MoneylineThe Baltimore Orioles bullpen profiles as the 8th-worst in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
