Follow the Live Updates for White Sox vs Rays - 8/1/2026

+145O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-170

Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+145)
Noah Schultz’s 2468-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 89th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Andrew Benintendi has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 79-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-190)
Drew Rasmussen is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.9% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Tropicana Field — the #9 HR venue among all major league stadiums — today.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jordan Hicks.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Tampa Bay Rays today has an estimated true talent wOBA of .307, which is a fair amount lower than their actual wOBA of .320 this year.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line -1.5 (+125)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Chicago White Sox – Run Line +1.5 (-150)
The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Taylor Walls – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+160/-205)
Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)

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