Player Props Analysis for Pirates vs Phillies – Thursday July 2nd, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

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Philadelphia Phillies

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Jared Jones – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Throwing 75.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Jared Jones ranks in the 6th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Pittsburgh Pirates’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-best among all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Alan Rangel – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  As a result of his large reverse platoon split, Alan Rangel will hold the advantage facing 6 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in this outing.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Harper as the 18th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Bryson Stott – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Bryson Stott has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.