
Los Angeles Angels
@

Seattle Mariners
+180O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-205
(-110/-110)-205
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+160)Walbert Urena is an extreme groundball pitcher (50.6% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in T-Mobile Park — the #6 HR venue in the league — today.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Donovan Walton – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Donovan Walton will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Bryce Miller – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Bryce Miller in the 89th percentile among all starters in the league.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
- Bryce Miller – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher today) profiles as an elite pitch framer.Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).
Betting Trends
- Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (+100)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
