St. Louis Cardinals
@
Atlanta Braves
-110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Dustin May – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)Dustin May has averaged 92.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)Batting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand today.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Atlanta Braves Insights
- Mike Yastrzemski – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)Mike Yastrzemski will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
- Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-110)The 5th-best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Atlanta Braves.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.