Odds and Betting Trends for Giants vs D-Backs – 7/1/26

San Francisco Giants

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Arizona Diamondbacks

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Trevor McDonald – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Trevor McDonald was firing on all cylinders in his last GS and put up 8 strikeouts.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Rafael Devers has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Today, Heliot Ramos is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.7% rate (91st percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Zac Gallen – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
  As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Zac Gallen is expected to average a total of 16.5 outs in today’s outing.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+170/-225)
  Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)