Discover Current Player Trends for Reds vs Brewers – Thursday July 02, 2026

Cincinnati Reds

@

Milwaukee Brewers

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Chase Burns – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Chase Burns has averaged 92.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 79th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  The Cincinnati Reds bullpen profiles as the 5th-worst in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 9.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  When it comes to his strikeout skill, Jacob Misiorowski projects as the best starter in Major League Baseball currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+180)
  Jackson Chourio’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• Sal Frelick – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+180/-235)
  Sal Frelick has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 25 games at home (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)