
Tampa Bay Rays
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Baltimore Orioles
-110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (-110)Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Yandy Diaz – Over/Under HitsWhen estimating his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Tampa Bay Rays – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Tampa Bay Rays’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-worst among all the teams in baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Chris Bassitt – Over/Under Pitching OutsChris Bassitt has recorded 14.2 outs per start this year, placing in the 17th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Tyler O’Neill – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-155)Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Blaze Alexander – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+235/-320)Blaze Alexander has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
