Learn About Red Sox vs Dodgers Picks and Betting Trends – Friday July 31, 2026

Boston Red Sox

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Los Angeles Dodgers

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Ranger Suarez – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+140/-180)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Ranger Suarez to have a pitch count in this game, projecting a maximum of 79 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• The Boston Red Sox have done a weak job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 12.3° figure is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (#28 overall).
  Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
  With a 1.26 discrepancy between Edgardo Henriquez’s 2.79 ERA and his 4.05 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and should see worse results the rest of the season.
  Explain: Pitchers that are overperforming should be expected to pitch worse going forward, which can create value if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Kyle Tucker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
  Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen ranks as the best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (+115)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)