Betting Trends for Brewers vs Angels Game - 7/31/26

-170O/U: 9
(-110/-110)+150

Shane Drohan – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shane Drohan to throw 85 pitches in this game (16th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Christian Yelich has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 31.3% over the last 7 days.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Christian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Ryan Johnson – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Johnson in this matchup, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Jorge Soler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
Jorge Soler has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
The Los Angeles Angels have 6 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jose Siri, Travis d’Arnaud, Zach Neto, Mike Trout, Jorge Soler, Denzer Guzman).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+130)
The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+7.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-170)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+5.85 Units / 12% ROI)
Vaughn Grissom – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+700/-1500)
Vaughn Grissom has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+13.00 Units / 217% ROI)

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