Watch the Royals vs Mets Game Highlights – July 9th, 2026

Kansas City Royals

@

New York Mets

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Michael Wacha – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-155/+120)
  Michael Wacha has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 4.7 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Salvador Perez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last two weeks.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Jac Caglianone hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Mets Insights

• Sean Manaea – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  Sean Manaea’s sinker rate has spiked by 23.3% from last year to this one (0.4% to 23.7%) .
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Francisco Lindor – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Francisco Lindor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 95.2-mph over the last 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• New York Mets – Moneyline (-145)
  The New York Mets projected offense ranks as the best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.