
Baltimore Orioles
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New York Mets
+100O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-120
(-110/-110)-120
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)Brandon Young was in good form in his previous GS and gave up 0 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Baltimore Orioles – 2H MoneylineThe Baltimore Orioles bullpen ranks as the 6th-best in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
New York Mets Insights
- Jonah Tong – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-155/+120)Jonah Tong has tallied 11.5 outs per start since the start of last season, placing in the 11th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- A.J. Ewing – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)A.J. Ewing has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s shallowest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
