Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for White Sox vs Guardians - September 14, 2026

+155O/U: 7
(-105/-115)-175

Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+135)
Sean Newcomb was firing on all cylinders in his previous GS and allowed 0 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Chase Meidroth – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
Chase Meidroth is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The Chicago White Sox have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colson Montgomery, Munetaka Murakami, Kyle Teel).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Gavin Williams – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
Compared to the average starter, Gavin Williams has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an extra 5.9 adjusted pitches each outing.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Steven Kwan – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 86.3-mph average last year has dropped off to 83.3-mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
The 5.8% Barrel% of the Cleveland Guardians grades them out as the #30 squad in baseball this year by this stat.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-175)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-145)
The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 away games (+7.60 Units / 79% ROI)

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