Score Updates for Padres vs Rockies – 9/14/26

San Diego Padres

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Colorado Rockies

San Diego Padres Insights

• Casey Mize – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  Casey Mize has relied on his slider 12.3% more often this season (27.6%) than he did last year (15.3%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Jake Cronenworth – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+180/-240)
  Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• San Diego Padres – 2H Moneyline
  The San Diego Padres bullpen projects as the 4th-best in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Tomoyuki Sugano – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+140/-180)
  Tomoyuki Sugano’s 2417-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 82nd percentile among all SPs.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Connor Norby – Over/Under Total Bases
  Connor Norby has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 81.9-mph in the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the Colorado Rockies are expected to record the 2nd-most runs (5.45 on average) of the day.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.