Official Lineup for Tigers vs Blue Jays - 9/14/2026

+120O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-140

Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
In his previous outing, Troy Melton performed well and allowed 1 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Gleyber Torres – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
Gleyber Torres’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.8-mph EV last season has dropped off to 86.5-mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Riley Greene – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)
Jose Soriano is an extreme groundball pitcher (55.5% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Rogers Centre — the #8 HR venue among all parks — in this matchup.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been unlucky this year, compiling a .307 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .366 — a .059 deviation.
Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
The Toronto Blue Jays (17.3 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line -1.5 (+155)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
George Springer – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.40 Units / 25% ROI)

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