Get the Injury Report for Marlins vs D-Backs – Monday September 14th, 2026

Miami Marlins

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Arizona Diamondbacks

Miami Marlins Insights

• Miami Marlins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
  In his previous GS, Sandy Alcantara was rolling and gave up 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Griffin Conine – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Griffin Conine’s true offensive talent to be a .313, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .058 deviation between that figure and his actual .371 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Miami Marlins hitters as a unit grade out 26th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when judging by their 6.8% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Corbin Burnes – Over/Under 13.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Corbin Burnes to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 77 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Pavin Smith – Over/Under Hits
  Pavin Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  In today’s matchup, Lars Nootbaar is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.6% rate (99th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.