Injury Report for Royals vs Tigers - Tuesday, April 14th, 2026

+105O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-125

Cole Ragans – Over/Under Pitching Outs
Cole Ragans has tallied 13.6 outs per GS since the start of last season, checking in at the 6th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Isaac Collins – Over/Under Total Bases
Over the last 7 days, Isaac Collins’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13% down to 0%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+240/-335)
In today’s matchup, Jac Caglianone is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (94th percentile).
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Framber Valdez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
Because of his large reverse platoon split, Framber Valdez will be at an advantage matching up with 7 bats in the projected batting order who bat from the opposite side in this game.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Riley Greene – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
Riley Greene has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.9-mph average to last season’s 96.5-mph mark.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
It may be smart to expect worse results for the Detroit Tigers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year.
Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-140)
Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+16.30 Units / 67% ROI)

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