Check Out the Player Prop Odds for Yankees vs Orioles – 8/20/26

New York Yankees

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Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees Insights

• Gerrit Cole – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Gerrit Cole’s high usage percentage of his fastball (53.3% this year) is likely hurting his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• José Caballero – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 86.1-mph mark last season has dropped off to 83.6-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The New York Yankees have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Among all starting pitchers, Kyle Bradish’s fastball spin rate of 2399 rpm grades out in the 77th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Dylan Beavers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  New York’s 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Dylan Beavers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+15.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+125/-160)
  Kyle Bradish has hit the Earned Runs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 44% ROI)