
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Colorado Rockies
-200O/U: 11.5
(+100/-120)+170
(+100/-120)+170
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Roki Sasaki – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Roki Sasaki is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least on the slate today.Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+110/-145)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shohei Ohtani as the 10th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-200)The best projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Zac Veen – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Zac Veen is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineThe Colorado Rockies bullpen profiles as the 10th-worst in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+6.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- Brett Sullivan – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+100/-130)Brett Sullivan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 48% ROI)
