
Milwaukee Brewers
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St. Louis Cardinals
-145O/U: 8
(-115/-105)+120
(-115/-105)+120
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Kyle Harrison – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)The St. Louis Cardinals have 7 batters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Greg Jones – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Greg Jones in the 3rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115/-105)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-145)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Garrett Mitchell – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+130/-170)Garrett Mitchell has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+4.45 Units / 56% ROI)
