Check Out Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Phillies vs Mariners - Wednesday, August 26, 2026

-130O/U: 7
(-110/-110)+110

Jesús Luzardo – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
Out of all starting pitchers, Jesus Luzardo’s fastball velocity of 96.3 mph is in the 84th percentile this year.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Bryson Stott – Over/Under Total Bases
Bryson Stott’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 81.9-mph over the past two weeks.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Bryan Woo – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Woo to throw 80 pitches today (3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
Extreme groundball hitters like Cal Raleigh tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jesús Luzardo.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Bryan Woo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh grades out as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

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