Check Out Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Phillies vs Mariners – Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies

@

Seattle Mariners

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Jesús Luzardo – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Jesus Luzardo’s fastball velocity of 96.3 mph is in the 84th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Bryson Stott – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Bryson Stott’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 81.9-mph over the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Tallying 17.3 outs per game per started this year on average, Bryan Woo ranks in the 86th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Patrick Wisdom – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Extreme groundball batters like Patrick Wisdom tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jesús Luzardo.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Seattle Mariners have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Patrick Wisdom, Cal Raleigh, Weston Wilson, Brock Rodden).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Luis Arraez – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-165/+130)
  Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)