Discover the Best Player Props for Brewers vs Mets – 8/26/2026

Milwaukee Brewers

@

New York Mets

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Dustin May – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Dustin May is projected to strikeout 5.2 hitters in this outing, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Sal Frelick – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 88.2-mph average last year has dropped to 85.2-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Milwaukee’s 89.4-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in the league: #3 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

New York Mets Insights

• Robert Stock – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+140/-180)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Robert Stock in this matchup, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jared Young – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Jared Young has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)