Get the Latest Score Updates for Orioles vs Cardinals - Wednesday August 26, 2026

-110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-110

Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (+100/-130)
Compared to the average starter, Kyle Bradish has been granted an above-average leash this year, recording an extra 3.7 adjusted pitches each game.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
The Baltimore Orioles have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Colton Cowser, Carlos Narvaez).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Michael McGreevy – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Michael McGreevy has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls 5.3% more often this season (58.4%) than he did last year (53.1%).
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Nolan Gorman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-115/-115)
Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
St. Louis’s 89.3-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the best in the league: #7 overall.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+120)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 54% ROI)
Baltimore Orioles – Run Line -1.5 (+150)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 away games (+7.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Jimmy Crooks III – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
Jimmy Crooks III has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 52% ROI)

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