
Milwaukee Brewers
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St. Louis Cardinals
-140O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+120
(-110/-110)+120
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Kyle Harrison – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)The St. Louis Cardinals have 7 batters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+170/-225)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Brice Turang – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Jose Fermin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Jose Fermin is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-140)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Sal Frelick – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+170/-225)Sal Frelick has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 43% ROI)
