Player Prop Picks for Brewers vs Cardinals - 7/6/2026

-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110

Shane Drohan – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
Shane Drohan has been given less leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 9.3 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.
Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Because of Dustin May’s large platoon split, Christian Yelich will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Brice Turang – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
Today, Brice Turang is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 43.3% rate (100th percentile).
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Dustin May – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Dustin May in this matchup, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-110)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Jake Bauers – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+140/-185)
Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)

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