
Los Angeles Angels
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Tampa Bay Rays
+165O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-195
(-110/-110)-195
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Jack Kochanowicz – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jack Kochanowicz has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls 5.8% more often this year (39.9%) than he did last year (34.1%).Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Logan O’Hoppe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)Logan O’Hoppe has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .209 BA is quite a bit lower than his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+230/-315)Zach Neto pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (-195)Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+180/-235)There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins’s launch angle from last year’s 23.3° to 29.2° this year.Explain: A high launch angle generally means the hitter can lift the ball into the air well, which is a key component for power and home runs.
- The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future gamesExplain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.
