See the Weather Forecast for Mets vs Nationals – Tuesday, May 19th, 2026

New York Mets

@

Washington Nationals

New York Mets Insights

• Nolan McLean – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  With 8 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Nolan McLean will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Brett Baty – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Brett Baty is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• New York’s 89.7-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in the game: #7 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Washington Nationals Insights

• Foster Griffin – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Among all starting pitchers, Foster Griffin’s fastball velocity of 87.3 mph is in the 1st percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• James Wood – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  James Wood has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year’s 94.3-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Dylan Crews – Over/Under Total Bases
  Dylan Crews has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.05 Units / 47% ROI)
• Carson Benge – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 28% ROI)