Get Betting Tips and Odds for Orioles vs Reds - 7/5/2026

-115O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-105

Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
Kyle Bradish’s high usage percentage of his fastball (51.5% this year) is likely harming his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Baltimore’s 89.8-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in MLB: #1 overall.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (-105)
Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
JJ Bleday – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
JJ Bleday has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles only has 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Elly De La Cruz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.45 Units / 51% ROI)
Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-170)
Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics