Get Expert Player Predictions for Twins vs Yankees - July 05, 2026

+115O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-135

Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)
Joe Ryan is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #4 HR venue among all major league parks in today’s game.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Royce Lewis – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
In the last 7 days, Royce Lewis’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
The Minnesota Twins have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in this game.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Jose Caballero – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 86.1-mph average last season has lowered to 84-mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Placing 4th-steepest in baseball this year, New York Yankees hitters as a unit have recorded a 15.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power).
Explain: A high launch angle generally means the hitter can lift the ball into the air well, which is a key component for power and home runs.

New York Yankees – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-150/+115)
The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
Minnesota Twins – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+125/-160)
Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics