See the Weather Forecast for Mets vs Nationals – Tuesday, May 19th, 2026

New York Mets

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Washington Nationals

New York Mets Insights

• Nolan McLean – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
  With 8 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Nolan McLean will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Brett Baty – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
  Brett Baty is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Mets bullpen profiles as the 8th-worst in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Washington Nationals Insights

• Foster Griffin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
  Among all starting pitchers, Foster Griffin’s fastball velocity of 87.3 mph is in the 1st percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• James Wood – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  James Wood has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year’s 94.3-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Dylan Crews – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Dylan Crews has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.05 Units / 47% ROI)
• Bo Bichette – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 36% ROI)