
San Francisco Giants
@

Los Angeles Dodgers
+255O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-305
(-110/-110)-305
San Francisco Giants Insights
- San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+205)Adrian Houser was on point in his previous outing and gave up 1 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)Willy Adames has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the San Francisco Giants offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-165)Compared to the average pitcher, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 4.4 adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Hye Seong Kim – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Hyeseong Kim’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 85.5-mph seasonal average has fallen to 83.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the 3rd-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+100/-130)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-165/+130)Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.80 Units / 25% ROI)
