Read Phillies vs Tigers Picks and Betting Odds – Sunday July 12, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies logo

Philadelphia Phillies

@
Detroit Tigers logo

Detroit Tigers

+115O/U: 7
(-115/-105)
-135

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
    The Detroit Tigers have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler in this game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.
    Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brandon Marsh, Derek Hill, Kyle Schwarber).
    Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Detroit Tigers Insights

  • James Outman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (+140/-185)
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Outman in the 1st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
    Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
  • Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
    The Detroit Tigers bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

  • Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-145)
    The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
    The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+145)
    Kevin McGonigle has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 26% ROI)