
Athletics
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Chicago White Sox
-105O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-115
(-110/-110)-115
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – Moneyline (-105)Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Athletics.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Carlos Cortes – Over/Under HitsCarlos Cortes is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Today’s version of the Athletics projected offense is a bit watered down, as their .306 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .336 overall projected rate.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Noah Schultz – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-150)Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Noah Schultz is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate today.Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
