
Arizona Diamondbacks
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+185O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-220
(-110/-110)-220
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
- Mitch Bratt – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Mitch Bratt will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H MoneylineThe Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen projects as the 10th-best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Andy Pages – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)Andy Pages has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.70 Units / 26% ROI)
