
San Francisco Giants
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+265O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-315
(-110/-110)-315
San Francisco Giants Insights
- San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+220)Adrian Houser was on point in his previous outing and gave up 1 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)Willy Adames has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- The San Francisco Giants have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bryce Eldridge, Willy Adames, Eric Haase).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-155)Compared to the average pitcher, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 4.4 adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)Max Muncy has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 93.1-mph figure.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the 3rd-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+105/-135)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-125/-105)Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 32% ROI)
