Player Trends for Cardinals vs Athletics - Tuesday, May 12th, 2026

+135O/U: 10
(-110/-110)-155

Andre Pallante – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
Andre Pallante’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (49.6% vs. 42.8% last year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Ivan Herrera – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Extreme flyball bats like Ivan Herrera tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jeffrey Springs.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
Among all starting pitchers, Jeffrey Springs’s fastball velocity of 90.7 mph grades out in the 6th percentile this year.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Zack Gelof – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
Zack Gelof has a ton of pop (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (30% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante has a pitch-to-contact profile (10th percentile K%) — great news for Gelof.
Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Athletics offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Athletics – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)
The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.85 Units / 38% ROI)
St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+135)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
Shea Langeliers has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 28% ROI)

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