Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Mets vs Phillies – 7/16/26

New York Mets

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Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets Insights

• Christian Scott – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  With 6 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Christian Scott faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• New York Mets – Moneyline (+105)
  The New York Mets projected lineup grades out as the best on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-125)
  The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the best among every team in action today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Kyle Schwarber is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of New York (#2-best of all teams on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen projects as the 4th-best in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+4.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-130/+100)
  Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 74% ROI)