Check Out the Rays vs Blue Jays Betting Guide and Expert Picks - 5/12/2026

-115O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-105

Shane McClanahan – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
With 8 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Shane McClanahan will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Despite posting a .196 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins has had some very poor luck given the .115 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.
Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Yandy Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
Patrick Corbin’s 2144.5-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 19th percentile out of all SPs.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Davis Schneider – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (+115/-150)
Davis Schneider has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The Toronto Blue Jays have done a favorable job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 15.6° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (#4 overall).
Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line -1.5 (+150)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
Kazuma Okamoto – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+400/-620)
Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+12.40 Units / 124% ROI)

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