Get the Latest Score Updates for Tigers vs Mets – Tuesday May 12, 2026

Detroit Tigers

@

New York Mets

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Jack Flaherty has utilized his curveball 5.9% less often this season (19.5%) than he did last season (25.4%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Colt Keith – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Colt Keith has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Detroit Tigers’ bullpen projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

New York Mets Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Freddy Peralta’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this season (93 mph) below where it was last season (94.1 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Juan Soto has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.6-mph to 95.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Mark Vientos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+15.95 Units / 57% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-115)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• Bo Bichette – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+160/-205)
  Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)